Melodic-Cria
0xf9712c6d06a0e6527ae7f85c9d540158e1a40a57
Wallet digest
Activity score
98/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
88
Open notional
$3.9K
Total PnL
$321.83
Realised
$1.4K
Win rate
62%
52 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 88- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
759 shares @ 52.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$383.51
$-11.39
- NO
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.30 and $2.60 on July 31, 2026?
411 shares @ 53.7¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$357.27
$136.66
- NO
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
491 shares @ 51.2¢·now 50.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$246.28
$-5.33
- YES
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
299 shares @ 65.0¢·now 71.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$212.29
$17.94
- NO
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?
239 shares @ 84.1¢·now 85.6¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$204.69
$3.54
- NO
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?
164 shares @ 71.8¢·now 95.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$155.95
$38.20
- YES
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
295 shares @ 51.1¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$149.17
$-1.79
- YES
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
294 shares @ 51.5¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$148.28
$-3.03
- NO
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?
366 shares @ 31.5¢·now 37.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$137.25
$21.82
- NO
Will Drew Campbell win Big Brother season 28?
136 shares @ 89.1¢·now 89.1¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$121.23
$0.07
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $7.00 on July 31, 2026?$9.00Jul 28, 20:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.30 and $2.60 on July 31, 2026?$7.91Jul 28, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.30 and $2.60 on July 31, 2026?$4.65Jul 28, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.30 and $2.60 on July 31, 2026?$1.37Jul 28, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 30?$1.80Jul 28, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 30?$6.48Jul 28, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 30?$16.80Jul 28, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 30?$1.63Jul 28, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 30?$4.50Jul 28, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 30?$18.00Jul 28, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 30?$7.20Jul 28, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 30?$1.80Jul 28, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 30?$7.20Jul 28, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 30?$1.80Jul 28, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 30?$17.64Jul 28, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 30?$7.10Jul 28, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 30?$0.67Jul 28, 19:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-07-28?$4.80Jul 28, 18:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 28?$0.00Jul 28, 18:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 28?$0.00Jul 28, 18:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
78/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
62% win rate over 52 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 32/100.
52 closed markets, 62% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $13.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 16:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 20:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 52 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.