Sentimental-Down
0xf9c1190aa8184bcbe418e6f5321c53b0bfbc39e2
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.7K
Realised
$321.90
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
10000 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-249.75
- YES
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?
5000 shares @ 95.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-4.8K
- YES
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
1 shares @ 95.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.15Jun 1, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$4.32Jun 1, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 31?$9.7KMay 31, 15:08 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$0.61May 31, 15:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$1.00May 31, 15:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$4.44May 31, 15:07 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$263.12May 31, 15:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$312.20May 31, 15:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?$661.94May 31, 15:07 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?$946.80May 31, 15:07 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$1.5KMay 31, 15:07 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$4.6KMay 31, 15:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$1.5KMay 31, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?$318.81May 31, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?$38.34May 31, 15:06 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$1.7KMay 31, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?$42.23May 31, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?$106.50May 31, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?$154.65May 31, 15:06 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?$3.3KMay 31, 15:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$187.7K
Trades
14
Buy share
97%
Window
May 19, 06:40 UTC → May 31, 14:41 UTC
- BUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$10.9K@98¢May 31, 14:41 UTC
- BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$19.2K@96¢May 30, 09:28 UTC
- BUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?$7.7K@97¢May 28, 21:34 UTC
- BUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?$30.7K@95¢May 28, 15:44 UTC
- BUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?$10.6K@99¢May 25, 18:45 UTC
- BUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?$11.5K@96¢May 25, 11:05 UTC
- SELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$6.0K@86¢May 25, 01:36 UTC
- BUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$15.9K@90¢May 24, 09:34 UTC
- BUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?$18.2K@97¢May 23, 18:20 UTC
- BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?$21.6K@96¢May 21, 07:33 UTC
- BUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?$11.8K@98¢May 20, 13:42 UTC
- BUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$7.9K@93¢May 20, 12:42 UTC
- BUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$5.7K@93¢May 19, 22:16 UTC
- BUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$10.0K@94¢May 19, 06:33 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 14 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$68.5K
4 trades
Buy share
97%
Sample
medium
14 ledger trades
Top market concentration
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?
$38.4K · 20% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $6.0K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 15:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.