Heartfelt-Barracks
0xfa0c16b641e7d68edfcc0843540054c16bced26c
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$92.28
Total PnL
$-118.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Scott Jensen win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
35 shares @ 92.3¢·now 99.4¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$34.79
$2.48
- NO
Will the US federal government take a stake in NVIDIA Corporation?
34 shares @ 76.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$30.43
$4.59
- NO
Will Jim Oberweis be the Republican nominee for FL-19?
33 shares @ 90.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$27.06
$-2.64
- YES
Will Perplexity run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?
116 shares @ 11.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-13.46
- NO
Will OpenAI run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?
113 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.80
- NO
Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
102 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-64.55
- YES
Will Trump say "Noem" during the State of the Union address?
94 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-38.54
- YES
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
28 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.68
- YES
Will Trump say “Fat Slob” by February 28?
5 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.45
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$50.00Jul 7, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US federal government take a stake in NVIDIA Corporation?$6.00Feb 10, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US federal government take a stake in NVIDIA Corporation?$13.68Feb 10, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US federal government take a stake in NVIDIA Corporation?$6.16Feb 10, 17:16 UTC
- TRADESELLCallum Turner announced as next James Bond?$10.50Feb 10, 14:56 UTC
- TRADESELLAaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?$1.60Feb 10, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jim Oberweis be the Republican nominee for FL-19?$29.70Feb 10, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYCallum Turner announced as next James Bond?$9.52Feb 10, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?$3.15Feb 10, 00:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?$1.50Feb 10, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?$2.85Feb 10, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?$58.25Feb 10, 00:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?$35.52Feb 10, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?$56.64Feb 10, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?$3.15Feb 10, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say “Fat Slob” by February 28?$1.45Feb 10, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$7.20Feb 9, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?$2.05Feb 8, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Perplexity run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?$3.39Feb 8, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$20.00Feb 8, 19:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $11.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 8, 17:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 7, 17:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.