Earnest-Error
0xfa2bc333d6d26372e7d1064c6fa61ecf67f2c35d
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$685.37
Total PnL
$-725.28
Realised
$-0.28
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
2844 shares @ 26.6¢·now 11.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$312.83
$-444.91
- YES
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
84 shares @ 59.4¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$42.51
$-7.49
- NO
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
56 shares @ 9.0¢·now 62.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$34.44
$29.44
- NO
Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?
63 shares @ 38.9¢·now 42.5¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$26.86
$2.24
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
76 shares @ 33.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.38
$0.38
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
231 shares @ 13.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.23
$-5.77
- NO
Will Trump announce Kyle Diamantas as the next FDA commissioner by December 31?
40 shares @ 35.0¢·now 60.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.99
$10.00
- YES
Kash Patel out by June 30?
408 shares @ 34.8¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$22.43
$-119.30
- YES
Kash Patel out by December 31?
40 shares @ 65.5¢·now 53.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.20
$-5.00
- YES
Trump out as President by June 30?
3157 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$20.52
$-69.02
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250?$10.36Jun 11, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250?$10.37Jun 11, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be less than $100?$2.01Jun 11, 12:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Maja Chwalińska win the 2026 Women’s French Open?$0.00Jun 7, 01:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump not announce a next United States Attorney General by June 30?$0.01Jun 7, 01:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBen Pasternak jailed?$5.64Jun 6, 01:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$7.22Jun 5, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?$10.17Jun 5, 10:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill President Trump attend the NBA Finals?$0.67Jun 4, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill President Trump attend the NBA Finals?$0.94Jun 4, 22:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $10.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 02:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.