Earnest-Error
0xfa2bc333d6d26372e7d1064c6fa61ecf67f2c35d
Quality score
93/100
Open positions
24
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$70.19
Realised
$43.23
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
2844 shares @ 26.6¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$696.75
$-60.99
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
379 shares @ 70.7¢·now 98.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$373.41
$105.07
- NO
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
55 shares @ 68.2¢·now 93.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$51.78
$13.98
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
108 shares @ 13.6¢·now 43.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$46.60
$31.83
- YES
Trump out as President by June 30?
573 shares @ 6.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$31.51
$-2.86
- NO
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
27 shares @ 75.0¢·now 96.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$25.63
$5.63
- HABS
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Canadiens vs. Lightning
36 shares @ 54.5¢·now 57.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$20.79
$0.90
- YES
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $670b on April 30?
80 shares @ 38.9¢·now 24.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$19.60
$-11.50
- YES
Will Trump disparage Pope Leo XIV by April 30?
210 shares @ 28.3¢·now 9.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$18.86
$-40.47
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by April 30, 2026?
29 shares @ 58.4¢·now 61.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$17.65
$0.74
Recent activity
- REDEEMOilers vs. Ducks$0.003h ago
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by April 30, 2026?$0.003h ago
- TRADEBUYOilers vs. Ducks$1.008h ago
- TRADEBUYOilers vs. Ducks$3.008h ago
- TRADESELLLightning vs. Canadiens$18.5810h ago
- TRADEBUYLightning vs. Canadiens$10.0012h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by April 30, 2026?$2.281d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by April 30, 2026?$0.421d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by April 30, 2026?$1.801d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by April 30, 2026?$2.001d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by April 30, 2026?$3.301d ago
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by April 30, 2026?$120.111d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?$1.002d ago
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026?$1.672d ago
- TRADEBUYKash Patel out by April 30?$6.162d ago
- TRADESELLKash Patel out by June 30?$6.162d ago
- TRADEBUYKash Patel out by April 30?$6.052d ago
- TRADESELLKash Patel out by June 30?$6.052d ago
- TRADEBUYKash Patel out by June 30?$12.322d ago
- TRADEBUYKash Patel out by April 30?$0.992d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $11.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 5d ago
- Last active
- 3h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.