Second-Bill
0xfa715c7bdf4beab86d8d22d76566c1488f8f8aa0
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$1.8K
Total PnL
$108.56
Realised
$3.18
Win rate
33%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
513 shares @ 43.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$300.10
$79.51
- YES
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?
457 shares @ 29.9¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$239.93
$103.34
- YES
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
722 shares @ 33.3¢·now 32.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$231.40
$-9.03
- NO
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?
433 shares @ 39.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$110.42
$-58.26
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
311 shares @ 35.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$101.08
$-7.77
- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
290 shares @ 25.0¢·now 32.9¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$95.27
$22.69
- YES
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
488 shares @ 19.4¢·now 17.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$85.40
$-9.15
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
122 shares @ 39.5¢·now 70.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$85.34
$37.12
- YES
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
106 shares @ 25.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$74.73
$48.23
- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
106 shares @ 18.9¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$62.01
$41.94
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$11.22May 18, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$16.96May 18, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$15.31May 18, 15:24 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs$251.00May 18, 14:21 UTC
- TRADESELLSpurs vs. Thunder$9.38May 18, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder$10.06May 18, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder$10.06May 18, 12:27 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs$36.35May 18, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs$64.16May 18, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs$39.62May 18, 08:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$10.35May 18, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$11.10May 18, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$11.55May 18, 06:19 UTC
- REDEEMCavaliers vs. Pistons$263.00May 18, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons$220.45May 18, 00:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons$101.80May 17, 22:53 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.72May 17, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:15 UTC
- MERGEWill Cleveland Cavaliers advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?$255.00May 16, 07:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $77.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 00:24 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 15:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".