Complicated-Damage
0xfacd5eb6566d469f71fb42415177c74eb27d9109
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$110.7K
Total PnL
$6.1K
Realised
$5.3K
Win rate
86%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
32774 shares @ 91.6¢·now 93.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$30.8K
$761.96
- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
20000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$17.0K
$7.0K
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
16842 shares @ 91.8¢·now 96.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.2K
$729.71
- NO
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
8000 shares @ 82.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$6.6K
$40.00
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
5400 shares @ 84.2¢·now 94.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.1K
$569.91
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
6000 shares @ 70.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.1K
$870.00
- NO
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
4000 shares @ 83.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$4.0K
$676.00
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
4000 shares @ 91.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.0K
$342.00
- NO
Netanyahu out by June 30?
4000 shares @ 85.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.0K
$550.00
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
20000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.0K
$-7.0K
Recent activity
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$8.1KJun 14, 03:48 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$10.57Jun 14, 03:43 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$31.18Jun 14, 03:26 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$1.26Jun 14, 03:26 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$1.32Jun 14, 03:26 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$1.36Jun 14, 03:25 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$120.13Jun 14, 03:19 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$963.77Jun 14, 02:55 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$27.69Jun 14, 02:22 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$57.89Jun 14, 02:06 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$119.88Jun 14, 01:53 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$96.10Jun 14, 01:53 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$23.06Jun 14, 00:50 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$4.80Jun 14, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$8.65Jun 14, 00:27 UTC
- YIELD$2.42Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$13.34Jun 14, 00:06 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$4.71Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$43.24Jun 13, 23:52 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$6.73Jun 13, 23:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$18.9K
Trades
1
Buy share
100%
Window
Jun 2, 07:20 UTC → Jun 2, 07:13 UTC
- BUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$18.9K@99¢Jun 2, 07:13 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$18.9K
1 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
$18.9K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $203.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 04:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 03:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.