Sad-Avalanche
0xfb157e2c71167d2f13fdc114c2733d56d1fa1038
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$391.48
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$-14.27
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
615 shares @ 64.7¢·now 63.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$389.44
$-8.56
- YES
Will Earl Carter be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?
819 shares @ 12.1¢·now 0.3¢·exp May 19, 2026$2.05
$-96.77
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
1953 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.7K
- NO
Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?
494 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-281.45
- NO
Will Iran strike Lebanon in March?
291 shares @ 17.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-49.82
- NO
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
133 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
73 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$82.71Jun 13, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$72.00Jun 10, 10:58 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$71.23Jun 10, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?$398.00Jun 8, 12:02 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$77.11Jun 8, 12:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?$59.44Jun 8, 12:01 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$261.94Jun 8, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$52.00Jun 8, 07:28 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$40.42Jun 8, 07:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?$12.02Jun 8, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$252.00Jun 7, 13:13 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$181.25Jun 7, 13:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?$70.02Jun 7, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?$93.00May 31, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?$102.24May 31, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$150.00May 31, 08:59 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$345.40May 31, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$156.00May 31, 07:22 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?$155.72May 28, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$314.00May 28, 06:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $246.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 23, 07:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 14:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.