Prize-Minimum
0xfb26f6f4ca742cab4e47c4d54efd960906d006f7
Activity score
97/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$2.0K
Total PnL
$264.35
Realised
$6.19
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
436 shares @ 79.2¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$405.82
$60.32
- NO
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?
350 shares @ 85.8¢·now 95.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$335.15
$35.15
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
379 shares @ 83.6¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$312.71
$-4.08
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2579 shares @ 5.9¢·now 12.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$312.08
$158.58
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
243 shares @ 85.5¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$224.91
$16.90
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
110 shares @ 90.9¢·now 92.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$101.93
$1.93
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
100 shares @ 91.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$93.50
$2.50
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
100 shares @ 89.6¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$92.55
$2.95
- NO
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?
100 shares @ 73.0¢·now 73.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$73.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Galatasaray win the Süper Lig?
77 shares @ 13.0¢·now 1.2¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.92
$-9.08
Recent activity
- REDEEMTrump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?$162.509h ago
- YIELD$0.0316h ago
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?$7.431d ago
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?$11.681d ago
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?$10.221d ago
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?$43.661d ago
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$4.001d ago
- TRADESELLIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?$140.761d ago
- YIELD$0.022d ago
- YIELD$0.033d ago
- YIELD$0.024d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$3.004d ago
- TRADESELLIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?$4.924d ago
- YIELD$0.025d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$43.685d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.775d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.845d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$4.375d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$3.855d ago
- YIELD$0.026d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $46.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 24d ago
- Last active
- 9h ago
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".