Tense-Precedent
0xfb5148fc7223630e0967dbfa8cd920d83ab4742d
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
95
Open notional
$224.9K
Total PnL
$-173.5K
Realised
$11.3K
Win rate
64%
28 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 95- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
79770 shares @ 53.5¢·now 78.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$62.3K
$19.6K
- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
47561 shares @ 61.6¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$39.2K
$10.0K
- NO
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
30197 shares @ 82.3¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$26.4K
$1.6K
- NO
Iran leadership change by June 30?
21273 shares @ 83.0¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$20.9K
$3.3K
- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
15612 shares @ 75.1¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.4K
$2.6K
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
21514 shares @ 74.8¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$12.2K
$-3.9K
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
12961 shares @ 86.5¢·now 74.8¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$9.7K
$-1.5K
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
36603 shares @ 32.2¢·now 26.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$9.7K
$-2.1K
- NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
8571 shares @ 87.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp May 29, 2026$8.5K
$1.1K
- NO
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
13471 shares @ 59.8¢·now 58.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.9K
$-172.19
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$280.00Jun 13, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$290.00Jun 13, 12:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$37.16Jun 13, 12:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$849.84Jun 13, 12:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$9.00Jun 13, 12:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jun 13, 12:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$1.50Jun 13, 12:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$1.50Jun 13, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$1.11Jun 13, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$69.29Jun 13, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$65.76Jun 13, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$198.53Jun 13, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$33.31Jun 13, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$63.64Jun 13, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$6.16Jun 13, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$8.89Jun 13, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$559.99Jun 13, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$116.00Jun 13, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$118.00Jun 13, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$120.00Jun 13, 12:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$12.6K
Trades
2
Buy share
0%
Window
May 23, 23:50 UTC → May 29, 18:05 UTC
- SELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$6.6K@50¢May 29, 18:05 UTC
- SELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$6.0K@93¢May 23, 23:45 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$12.6K
2 trades
Buy share
0%
Sample
low
2 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
$6.6K · 52% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $691.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 08:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 12:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 28 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.