Scholarly-Mass
0xfb57f8670d2f51a76b0ce40c533ed7d7328c0a46
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$52.9K
Total PnL
$419.75
Realised
$-10.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
33036 shares @ 92.8¢·now 94.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$31.3K
$660.38
- NO
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
5752 shares @ 96.3¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.6K
$40.54
- NO
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
4630 shares @ 81.7¢·now 83.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.8K
$61.50
- NO
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
3670 shares @ 94.6¢·now 95.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.5K
$24.60
- NO
Fed rate hike in 2026?
4000 shares @ 66.5¢·now 50.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$2.0K
$-642.22
- NO
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
1470 shares @ 90.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.4K
$81.58
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
1100 shares @ 91.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$984.50
$-16.50
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
1008 shares @ 85.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$871.90
$15.12
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
2400 shares @ 39.2¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$827.76
$-112.24
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?
1800 shares @ 28.0¢·now 44.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$792.00
$288.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?$452.00Jun 4, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?$8.70Jun 4, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?$522.43Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?$518.52Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$490.00Jun 4, 00:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$2.0KJun 4, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$3.5KJun 2, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 30?$856.78Jun 2, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$1.0KJun 2, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$5.06Jun 2, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$3.6KJun 2, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$2.01Jun 2, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$1.7KJun 2, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$167.38Jun 2, 02:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?$588.24Jun 2, 02:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?$2.5KJun 2, 02:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June?$3.7KJun 2, 02:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?$4.0KJun 2, 02:22 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$12.83Jun 2, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$239.63Jun 1, 23:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$10.3K
Trades
1
Buy share
0%
Window
May 21, 17:30 UTC → May 21, 17:25 UTC
- SELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$10.3K@93¢May 21, 17:25 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$10.3K
1 trades
Buy share
0%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
$10.3K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $991.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 28, 02:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".