Scholarly-Mass
0xfb57f8670d2f51a76b0ce40c533ed7d7328c0a46
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$92.4K
Total PnL
$-3.8K
Realised
$758.41
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
67621 shares @ 84.9¢·now 83.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$56.2K
$-1.2K
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
26658 shares @ 88.0¢·now 82.2¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$21.9K
$-1.6K
- NO
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
19826 shares @ 81.3¢·now 72.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.4K
$-1.7K
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$14.77Jul 13, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$218.42Jul 13, 12:06 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$26.45Jul 13, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$10.7KJul 12, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$35.09Jul 12, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$2.48Jul 12, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$4.13Jul 12, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$15.36Jul 12, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$15.36Jul 12, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$15.36Jul 12, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$15.36Jul 12, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$2.34Jul 12, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$15.36Jul 12, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$19.0KJul 12, 20:52 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$13.59Jul 9, 21:17 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$19.54Jul 3, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$23.6KJul 2, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$4.51Jul 2, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$27.6KJul 2, 13:41 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$51.3KJul 1, 06:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$29.1K
Trades
1
Buy share
34%
Window
May 21, 17:30 UTC → Jun 24, 13:26 UTC
- SELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$10.3K@93¢May 21, 17:25 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
34%
Sample
limited
3 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
$10.3K · 35% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $2.6K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 28, 15:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 16:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.