Jaded-Hectare
0xfb612987f8fe32991c7a48d9a7c7e9d1b441ffeb
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$236.84
Total PnL
$-5.44
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
456 shares @ 24.1¢·now 48.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$218.80
$109.00
- YES
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
1443 shares @ 4.0¢·now 1.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.04
$-39.44
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 19?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $116,000 October 13-19?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,100 on October 21?
80 shares @ 26.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,900 on October 22?
72 shares @ 27.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
34 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$185.83Jun 2, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$39.41May 18, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$40.61May 16, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$36.14May 14, 10:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$36.27May 14, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$35.73Apr 28, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$80.60Apr 7, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$10.29Apr 5, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$1.90Apr 4, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$3.60Apr 4, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$6.32Apr 4, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$1.90Apr 4, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$5.20Apr 3, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.67Mar 16, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$2.71Mar 16, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.04Mar 13, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$8.13Mar 13, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$15.27Mar 13, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$1.11Mar 13, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.83Mar 13, 07:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $30.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 10, 07:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 02:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".