Joyful-Earthquake
0xfb8848ea37d3aea065322d7b8ae33f3d8731bf74
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$356.22
Total PnL
$-90.59
Realised
$7.74
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
654 shares @ 15.3¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$104.25
$4.25
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
598 shares @ 16.7¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$95.42
$-4.58
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1346 shares @ 5.2¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$72.02
$2.02
- YES
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?
145 shares @ 27.5¢·now 27.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$39.27
$-0.73
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
270 shares @ 7.4¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$26.08
$6.08
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
233 shares @ 8.6¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$19.19
$-0.81
- YES
Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 24?
268 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-37.52
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 24?
267 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-18.66
- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?
64 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.01
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03Jun 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 4, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 2, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 1, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 31, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 30, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 24, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 23, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?$1.18May 22, 21:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?$2.69May 22, 21:46 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 22, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $1B one day after launch?$42.03May 21, 19:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 20, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $38.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 07:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".