Thunderous-Nurture
0xfb8a9a2a8b99cfb0a16042ee8d1b20ffca527a17
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$517.00
Total PnL
$-115.47
Realised
$1.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1630 shares @ 24.9¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$304.00
$-102.70
- NO
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
50 shares @ 97.3¢·now 96.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$48.02
$-0.63
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-32 House seat?
40 shares @ 93.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$37.00
$-0.20
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
30 shares @ 96.8¢·now 95.8¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$28.74
$-0.30
- YES
Will France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
21 shares @ 98.7¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$20.88
$-0.06
- NO
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
20 shares @ 98.3¢·now 98.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$19.77
$0.11
- NO
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
20 shares @ 98.4¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$19.69
$0.01
- NO
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
20 shares @ 98.2¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$19.59
$-0.05
- NO
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
20 shares @ 96.8¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$19.31
$-0.05
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
60 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the CA-32 House seat?$37.30May 18, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.95May 18, 08:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 15, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$5.32May 14, 11:27 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$50.00May 14, 11:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 3, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $26.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 15, 18:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".