0xfc21bcb9a4c58717712f4c063b0c2f1cc1419159
0xfc21bcb9a4c58717712f4c063b0c2f1cc1419159
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$173.99
Total PnL
$101.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
77 shares @ 13.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$76.92
$66.92
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
48 shares @ 25.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$48.00
$36.00
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
38 shares @ 32.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$24.19
$12.19
- NO
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
21 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$21.13
$6.13
- YES
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
50 shares @ 15.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.75
$-3.75
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?
300 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
76 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-4.90
- YES
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?
11 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?
9 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.08
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$6.00Mar 6, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$10.00Feb 14, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?$2.00Feb 1, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be impeached by end of 2026?$7.50Feb 1, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?$4.90Feb 1, 02:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?$5.17Jan 31, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?$2.08Jan 30, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?$1.50Jan 29, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?$10.00Jan 28, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$12.00Jan 28, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$12.00Jan 28, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?$15.00Jan 28, 20:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $7.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 28, 20:01 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 6, 21:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.