Specific-Ascend
0xfc44c2cf31d30f822950978e88af0fb9aad31997
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$21.12
Total PnL
$2.77
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
5 shares @ 59.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$3.23
$0.23
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
5 shares @ 65.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$3.02
$0.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 8°C on May 1?
3 shares @ 45.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 1, 2026$3.00
$1.65
- NO
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?
3 shares @ 59.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$2.73
$0.73
- NO
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
3 shares @ 76.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2026$2.08
$0.08
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
13 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.06
$0.06
- YES
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?
2 shares @ 89.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.96
$-0.04
- NO
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 15, 2026?
2 shares @ 83.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$1.94
$-0.06
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
1 shares @ 70.7¢·now 78.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.11
$0.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill a new Gemini flagship be released by May 15, 2026?$2.014h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?$2.014h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on May 1?$0.014h ago
- REDEEMGemini 3.5 released by April 30?$6.0610h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on May 1?$1.1311h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 8°C on May 1?$1.3911h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.0712h ago
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?$3.3712h ago
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$4.0512h ago
- REDEEMWill Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$4.1412h ago
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$5.0512h ago
- REDEEMWill Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?$0.0012h ago
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?$2.031d ago
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$4.001d ago
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.011d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?$2.071d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?$2.381d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?$7.021d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$2.002d ago
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by April 30?$6.002d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $2.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 2d ago
- Last active
- 4h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".