Forked-Airship
0xfc5de487d08d0d3c4d4cb632263e879196a513af
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$40.00
Total PnL
$-14.71
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
12 shares @ 81.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$12.21
$2.21
- NO
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?
12 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.76
$1.76
- YES
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
6 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.68
$0.68
- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
111 shares @ 4.5¢·now 4.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.77
$-0.23
- YES
Will Bernie say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" in Maine?
4 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$4.30
$0.30
- YES
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
5 shares @ 63.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.02
$-1.98
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?
26 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.25
$-0.75
- YES
Will the next Dutch government be PVV + JA21?
4460 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-4.46
- YES
Will Esther Taylor win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
3100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.10
- YES
Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?
18 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" in Maine?$4.01May 23, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$5.02May 23, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x China tariff agreement by May 31?$10.06May 23, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$10.09May 23, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs$2.03May 23, 16:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C or higher on May 6?$1.61May 23, 16:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Trump" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?$2.44May 23, 16:08 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$3.23May 23, 16:08 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$17.54May 23, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$1.00May 5, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Trump" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?$2.01May 5, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C or higher on May 6?$1.02May 5, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$5.19May 5, 06:37 UTC
- REWARD$0.85Apr 19, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$2.00Apr 18, 06:02 UTC
- REWARD$0.40Apr 1, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$1.34Mar 31, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$1.36Mar 30, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$0.59Mar 29, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$1.30Mar 28, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $4.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 19, 08:49 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 16:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.