Formal-Puma
0xfc6c2ebcac481299aeebaa7698ae20f956c668a2
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$197.04
Total PnL
$-86.12
Realised
$175.84
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
133 shares @ 74.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$133.48
$33.48
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
769 shares @ 13.0¢·now 6.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$46.54
$-53.46
- YES
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
148 shares @ 25.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$17.02
$-19.98
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
401 shares @ 24.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Trump and Ahmed al-Sharaa shake hands for between 6 and 10 seconds on November 10 2025?
195 shares @ 20.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 17?
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump say "Obliterated / Obliteration / Obliterating" during Syria President events on November 10?
81 shares @ 49.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
80 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 1?
58 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-19.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
8 shares @ 12.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$100.00Mar 29, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$100.00Jan 26, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$100.00Jan 25, 16:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$475.83Jan 21, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?$37.00Jan 12, 17:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$36.86Jan 12, 17:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 10, 00:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 9, 00:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jan 7, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$300.00Jan 6, 15:35 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$300.00Jan 6, 15:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jan 6, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$43.00Jan 5, 18:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jan 5, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$300.00Jan 4, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US strike on Venezuela by January 17?$10.00Jan 4, 17:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?$353.54Jan 3, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?$223.00Dec 8, 16:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $149.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 30, 16:37 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 29, 19:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".