0xfc8e89ec0f7fd32986a012f40564c6e376d47cbd
0xfc8e89ec0f7fd32986a012f40564c6e376d47cbd
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$77.37
Total PnL
$-6.33
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down on February 4?
22 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$21.50
$11.61
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?
21 shares @ 68.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$17.70
$3.20
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
26 shares @ 72.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$15.49
$-3.25
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?
20 shares @ 69.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$13.03
$-0.91
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026?
21 shares @ 27.0¢·now 29.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$6.07
$0.42
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?
21 shares @ 19.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.86
$-1.16
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
26 shares @ 4.0¢·now 2.9¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.73
$-0.29
- NO
Will Jonathan Kuminga be traded this season?
24 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-9.88
- YES
Will Marty Supreme win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?
12 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
10 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.55
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Jonathan Kuminga be traded this season?$9.88Feb 4, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down on February 4?$9.89Feb 4, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$5.55Feb 4, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marty Supreme win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.50Feb 4, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?$13.94Feb 4, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026?$5.65Feb 4, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?$4.02Feb 4, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?$14.50Feb 4, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?$18.74Feb 4, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?$1.02Feb 4, 02:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $8.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 4, 02:40 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 4, 05:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".