Distorted-Shape
0xfcb278fd80579d2c10225ed4bc1b55363cc9cee7
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-523.37
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 8?
11861 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-164.58
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 8?
5682 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-251.17
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
5291 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-47.62
- YES
Khamenei seen in public by March 1?
1000 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
370 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$49.51Jun 2, 19:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$66.04Apr 25, 22:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$44.02Apr 25, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 8?$1.04Apr 8, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 8?$8.56Apr 8, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 8?$0.13Apr 8, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 8?$8.00Apr 8, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 8?$1.01Apr 8, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 8?$15.00Apr 8, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 8?$0.01Apr 8, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 8?$10.70Apr 8, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 8?$5.47Apr 8, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 8?$0.01Apr 8, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 8?$0.07Apr 7, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 8?$0.07Apr 7, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 8?$0.35Apr 7, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 8?$0.26Apr 7, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 8?$0.17Apr 7, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 8?$0.26Apr 7, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 8?$0.34Apr 7, 23:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $13.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 23:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 19:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.