0xfd0a48d7f4867446a5165aeab35c42f8b529dbf0
0xfd0a48d7f4867446a5165aeab35c42f8b529dbf0
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$85.35
Total PnL
$1.25
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?
61 shares @ 90.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$58.82
$4.22
- NO
Bitcoin BIP-360 implemented in 2026?
15 shares @ 91.3¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$12.92
$-0.88
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
68 shares @ 8.0¢·now 4.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.87
$-2.53
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?
3 shares @ 93.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.82
$0.03
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?
3 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.81
$-0.01
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
3 shares @ 78.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.35
$0.01
- YES
Bitcoin quantum-resistant upgrade implemented in 2026?
16 shares @ 7.6¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.65
$0.45
- YES
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
5 shares @ 23.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.13
$-0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$5.40May 13, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?$54.60May 13, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin BIP-360 implemented in 2026?$13.88May 10, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin quantum-resistant upgrade implemented in 2026?$1.28May 10, 11:21 UTC
- REDEEMFDA approves a psychedelic for medical use in 2026?$77.00May 7, 15:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?$10.78May 5, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYFDA approves a psychedelic for medical use in 2026?$35.59May 1, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$11.00May 1, 05:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a hurricane form by May 31?$0.45Apr 26, 05:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a hurricane form by May 31?$0.69Apr 26, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a hurricane form by May 31?$1.76Apr 26, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?$10.26Apr 26, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a hurricane form by May 31?$1.07Apr 26, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$2.34Apr 24, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?$1.15Apr 24, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?$2.79Apr 24, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?$2.82Apr 24, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$9.90Apr 12, 13:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta (META) finish week of March 2 above $640?$10.00Mar 7, 06:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 2 above $185?$10.00Mar 7, 06:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $9.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 25, 22:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 03:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".