Vivid-Dash
0xfd1941954e04fd59b1e261ce35c89a6f10c7574b
Wallet digest
Activity score
36/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
52
Open notional
$3.30
Total PnL
$-73.34
Realised
$-5.75
Win rate
0%
36 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 52- OVER
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5
5 shares @ 67.0¢·now 66.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$3.30
$-0.05
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 12?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $1,750 on June 8?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
15 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-12?
15 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?
15 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
- YES
Will Gwangju FC win on 2026-05-05?
13 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-0.98
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 4?
13 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-0.90
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on June 8?
10 shares @ 12.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.25
- UNDER
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5
10 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-4.60
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?$0.00Aug 13, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?$2.32Aug 7, 18:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Abdul El-Sayed win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?$5.00Aug 6, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abdul El-Sayed win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?$1.95Jul 31, 15:33 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Dallas Wings (-6.5)$5.00Jul 23, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Dallas Wings (-6.5)$2.51Jul 23, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYParaguay vs. France: O/U 8.5 Total Corners$1.94Jul 4, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYAustralia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance$2.09Jul 3, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)$3.28Jul 3, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMPortugal vs. Croatia: O/U 4.5$5.00Jul 3, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. Croatia: O/U 4.5$4.20Jul 2, 20:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 2?$5.00Jul 2, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on July 2?$2.11Jul 2, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 2?$3.89Jul 1, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on July 1?$1.91Jul 1, 01:19 UTC
- REDEEMPittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5$5.00Jun 21, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYPittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5$2.89Jun 21, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5$3.38Jun 18, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 11.5$3.68Jun 17, 04:06 UTC
- REDEEMCleveland Guardians vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 10.5$5.00Jun 17, 02:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
53/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 36 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
36 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $1.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 10:05 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 13, 08:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 36 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.