Humongous-Fannypack
0xfd2b117412a698f322b0cd18d6827dad262b8e50
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
128
Open notional
$69.2K
Total PnL
$-1.0M
Realised
$26.0K
Win rate
86%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 128- NO
Will Trump attend his son's wedding?
14811 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$14.8K
$733.05
- NO
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
12705 shares @ 11.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$12.7K
$11.3K
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
41485 shares @ 15.6¢·now 28.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$11.6K
$5.1K
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
22029 shares @ 32.3¢·now 52.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.5K
$4.3K
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
10000 shares @ 22.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.0K
$7.7K
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
5305 shares @ 92.0¢·now 96.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.1K
$225.48
- YES
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
2521 shares @ 36.6¢·now 48.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.2K
$286.74
- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
1108 shares @ 74.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$1.1K
$278.08
- YES
Will Andy Barr be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?
727 shares @ 88.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$726.51
$83.33
- NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
200 shares @ 17.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$200.00
$166.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$3.2KJun 11, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$3.2KJun 11, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$750.29Jun 11, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$903.14Jun 11, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$17.00Jun 11, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.7KJun 11, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.5KJun 11, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$910.93Jun 11, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.5KJun 11, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$244.40Jun 3, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$2.0KJun 3, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$150.00Jun 3, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$111.23Jun 3, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$300.00Jun 1, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$26.19Jun 1, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$0.30Jun 1, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$2.4KJun 1, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$2.3KMay 29, 15:23 UTC
- REWARD$4.32May 29, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$151.07May 29, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$6.3K
Trades
1
Buy share
0%
Window
May 23, 17:20 UTC → May 23, 17:13 UTC
- SELLIran closes its airspace by May 24?$6.3K@72¢May 23, 17:13 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$6.3K
1 trades
Buy share
0%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
$6.3K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $675.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 28, 17:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 17:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.