Costly-Repeat
0xfd5db2822e45fde03c50d9af410b796280419a62
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$6.31
Total PnL
$-28.29
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-02-14?
5 shares @ 37.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$5.00
$3.15
- YES
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?
5 shares @ 39.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.26
$-0.74
- YES
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
4 shares @ 49.0¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.06
$-1.94
- YES
Will "Yonaguni" be played last at the Super Bowl halftime show?
49 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be blue?
19 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Big Game: Overtime?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?
15 shares @ 19.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
8 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-4.93
- YES
Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will "LA MUDANZA" be played last at the Super Bowl halftime show?
7 shares @ 28.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?$6.52Mar 24, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sheffield United FC win on 2026-02-14?$1.85Feb 14, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win?$1.82Feb 14, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Swansea City AFC win on 2026-02-14?$2.00Feb 14, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?$1.00Feb 14, 15:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Super Bowl LX have between 124M and 128M viewers?$6.45Feb 14, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?$2.00Feb 14, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$2.00Feb 14, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?$3.00Feb 14, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$4.00Feb 14, 14:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?$11.39Feb 9, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$5.00Feb 9, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Super Bowl LX have between 124M and 128M viewers?$2.00Feb 9, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Yonaguni" be played last at the Super Bowl halftime show?$1.00Feb 9, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "LA MUDANZA" be played last at the Super Bowl halftime show?$2.00Feb 9, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBig Game: Overtime?$1.00Feb 9, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Verizon/Visible run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?$3.00Feb 9, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?$3.00Feb 9, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?$5.00Feb 9, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be blue?$5.00Feb 9, 01:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $2.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 9, 01:20 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 24, 23:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".