Fancy-Whale
0xfd7406634dd33871e873fb34b00bfcebb76947c5
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
85
Open notional
$68.63
Total PnL
$8.72
Realised
$10.94
Win rate
61%
41 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 85- NO
Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
7 shares @ 70.1¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$5.03
$0.10
- YES
Will "Janice STFU - Drake" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of June 20?
807 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$3.63
$1.21
- YES
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be at least 56.0 in June?
10 shares @ 9.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$3.21
$2.32
- NO
World Cup: Ronaldo to Score 2+ Penalties?
4 shares @ 50.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.01
$0.81
- NO
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?
4 shares @ 58.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.84
$0.74
- YES
Will "Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of June 20?
508 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$2.54
$1.02
- YES
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?
9 shares @ 18.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$2.50
$0.83
- NO
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?
4 shares @ 52.9¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.50
$0.16
- NO
Bricks & Minifigs CEO fired/resigns by July 31?
3 shares @ 67.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.44
$0.41
- YES
Will the June 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?
7 shares @ 31.4¢·now 34.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$2.38
$0.18
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$0.00Jun 14, 02:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Bilytske by June 30?$0.05Jun 14, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Algeria be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?$0.31Jun 14, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?$0.10Jun 14, 02:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 760-799 tweets in June 2026?$0.27Jun 14, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France be the worst-placed European nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jun 14, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?$4.86Jun 14, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the July interest rate announcement?$0.11Jun 14, 01:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in June 2026?$0.32Jun 14, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Bilytske by June 30?$0.43Jun 14, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Bilytske by June 30?$0.37Jun 14, 01:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?$0.14Jun 14, 01:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?$0.13Jun 14, 01:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?$0.13Jun 14, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$0.37Jun 14, 01:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in June 2026?$1.08Jun 14, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in June 2026?$3.12Jun 13, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of June 20?$1.01Jun 13, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$0.11Jun 13, 23:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets in June 2026?$0.01Jun 13, 22:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 19:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 02:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 41 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.