Crowded-Promise
0xfd741a1c8ff817f65ad7f0117744875aabf21919
active
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$158.49
Total PnL
$-68.71
Realised
$1.30
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
229 shares @ 42.8¢·now 41.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$94.94
$-3.03
- YES
Will MrBeast say "Feastable" or "Feastables" during his next video?
40 shares @ 60.0¢·now 58.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$23.20
$-0.80
- YES
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?
144 shares @ 59.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$18.73
$-66.27
- NO
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
30 shares @ 59.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.84
$0.15
- NO
Will Valve remove Overpass from the Map Pool?
6 shares @ 61.0¢·now 60.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.78
$-0.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Feastable" or "Feastables" during his next video?$23.876h ago
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Feastable" or "Feastables" during his next video?$0.137h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$3.301d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$14.391d ago
- TRADESELLWill Valve remove Overpass from the Map Pool?$2.562d ago
- TRADESELLWill Valve remove Overpass from the Map Pool?$1.002d ago
- TRADESELLWill Valve remove Overpass from the Map Pool?$1.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Valve remove Overpass from the Map Pool?$4.582d ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$0.004d ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$19.964d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$10.994d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$2.204d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Valve remove Overpass from the Map Pool?$3.844d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?$35.004d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?$30.004d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?$20.004d ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$0.005d ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$12.855d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$10.005d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$1.005d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $12.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 16d ago
- Last active
- 6h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.