Cold-Shape
0xfda782110245c75e6ff11be52c8815d3d253d488
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
37
Open notional
$115.12
Total PnL
$-105.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- NO
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
38 shares @ 91.6¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$34.78
$-0.22
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
18 shares @ 78.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$13.91
$-0.09
- GERMANY
Spread: Germany (-1.5)
15 shares @ 86.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$12.40
$-0.60
- SPAIN
Spread: Spain (-1.5)
13 shares @ 77.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$9.55
$-0.45
- GERMANY
Spread: Germany (-2.5)
8 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.69
$3.69
- BRAZIL
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)
7 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.04
$2.04
- NO
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
5 shares @ 93.3¢·now 94.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.05
$0.05
- UNDER
Games Total: O/U 4.5
7 shares @ 74.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$5.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?
10 shares @ 48.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$4.84
$-0.16
- OVER
Cabo Verde vs. Serbia: O/U 1.5
4 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.16
$1.16
Recent activity
- REDEEMGame Handicap: JDG (-2.5) vs Top Esports (+2.5)$15.48Jun 1, 01:25 UTC
- REDEEMGame Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)$3.17Jun 1, 01:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill IFK Goteborg win on 2026-05-31?$5.56Jun 1, 00:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYCabo Verde vs. Serbia: O/U 1.5$3.03May 31, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYCabo Verde vs. Serbia: Both Teams to Score$3.04May 31, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Portugal (-1.5)$3.04May 31, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$6.04May 31, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-27?$5.08May 31, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spain (-1.5)$10.07May 31, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score$1.01May 31, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Brazil (-1.5)$5.04May 31, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Germany (-2.5)$4.06May 31, 15:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$9.59May 31, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 4.5$5.04May 31, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Poland win on 2026-05-31?$2.03May 31, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill IFK Goteborg win on 2026-05-31?$2.04May 31, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vasteraas SK vs. IFK Goteborg end in a draw?$2.04May 31, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner$4.07May 31, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$8.05May 31, 08:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $5.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 30, 16:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 01:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".