Direct-Waterfront-Chive
0xfddde6d05adca7fc195138b7375303f679af9ff8
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$86.46
Total PnL
$14.12
Realised
$-0.86
Win rate
0%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
36 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$35.64
$16.04
- NO
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?
8 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$7.53
$2.56
- NO
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?
7 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$7.00
$2.45
- NO
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?
6 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$6.08
$1.58
- NO
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?
6 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$6.08
$1.58
- NO
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?
6 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$6.08
$1.52
- NO
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?
6 shares @ 74.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$6.05
$1.52
- NO
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?
6 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$6.00
$1.92
- NO
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?
6 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$6.00
$1.62
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?
8 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.63
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$6.56Aug 6, 22:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$1.02Aug 6, 22:30 UTC
- TRADESELLAtlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox$14.90Aug 6, 22:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$21.99Aug 6, 22:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$18.24Aug 6, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?$4.38Jul 12, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?$1.18Jul 12, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?$2.36Jul 12, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?$1.18Jul 12, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway vs. England end in a draw?$2.04Jul 11, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway vs. England end in a draw?$2.70Jul 11, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. Morocco end in a draw?$1.52Jul 9, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. Morocco end in a draw?$1.52Jul 9, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. Morocco end in a draw?$1.52Jul 9, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$1.26Jul 8, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?$4.54Jul 7, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.24Jul 7, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?$1.37Jul 7, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?$1.37Jul 7, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?$1.37Jul 7, 16:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
36/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $6.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 4, 15:11 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 6, 22:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.