Nutritious-Perch
0xfde908115953b459e48f5cd1ce5185834e52cc30
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$767.30
Total PnL
$-822.85
Realised
$-617.34
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 5?
255 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$254.87
$3.44
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 6?
200 shares @ 96.1¢·now 95.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$189.90
$-2.30
- NO
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 5?
120 shares @ 98.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 10, 2026$119.82
$1.26
- NO
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?
111 shares @ 79.7¢·now 81.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$89.91
$1.45
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
492 shares @ 52.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$81.18
$-174.66
- YES
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?
111 shares @ 19.4¢·now 18.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$19.98
$-1.52
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $84,000 on May 6?
204 shares @ 3.1¢·now 5.3¢·exp May 6, 2026$10.89
$4.58
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
120 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.54
$-0.66
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 5?
420 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.21
$-4.41
- YES
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
890 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.68
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?$3.999h ago
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?$16.809h ago
- REDEEMWill a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?$278.1616h ago
- TRADESELLWill J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?$39.1019h ago
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?$132.6019h ago
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?$10.1419h ago
- TRADESELLWill J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?$2.8619h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?$0.0621h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 5?$118.5621h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?$1.2621h ago
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?$6.0022h ago
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?$23.7022h ago
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?$6.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?$23.702d ago
- TRADESELLWill J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?$6.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?$6.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?$23.702d ago
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?$6.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?$2.602d ago
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?$10.272d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $29.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 6d ago
- Last active
- 9h ago
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".