Negative-Mix
0xfe2c4d50788e9508012218f7f1e5b901127d0fca
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$420.51
Total PnL
$-20.35
Realised
$13.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
100 shares @ 98.4¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$99.85
$1.45
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 45.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$67.50
$22.50
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 87.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$45.25
$1.75
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?
40 shares @ 92.0¢·now 83.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$33.50
$-3.30
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
30 shares @ 63.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.75
$2.85
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?
30 shares @ 82.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$20.55
$-4.05
- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?
20 shares @ 96.8¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.93
$0.57
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 95.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$19.39
$0.39
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 8?
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$19.25
$14.25
- NO
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
20 shares @ 82.0¢·now 90.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.14
$1.74
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 8?$5.32Jun 2, 08:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$19.54Jun 1, 22:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 31?$50.00Jun 1, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?$45.00May 30, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?$43.50May 28, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 31?$40.00May 26, 14:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 11-17?$50.00May 18, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 11-17?$0.17May 14, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 11-17?$10.33May 14, 15:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$39.51May 14, 14:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Matthew Schaefer win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?$19.94May 13, 17:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$35.20May 11, 13:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$50.00May 5, 01:00 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?$29.10Apr 24, 11:12 UTC
- TRADESELLPredict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?$49.40Apr 9, 12:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$39.52Apr 7, 15:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,600 by end of March?$10.00Apr 1, 09:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump cut off trade with Spain?$30.00Apr 1, 09:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $23.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 27, 10:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".