Worthy-Lament
0xfe726a6efb705a7e17f8200919b1f05a8a17f18c
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$7.3K
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$962.29
Win rate
73%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
2500 shares @ 56.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$1.3K
$-150.30
- YES
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
3000 shares @ 15.1¢·now 20.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$600.00
$146.59
- YES
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
1500 shares @ 38.0¢·now 38.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$570.00
$0.00
- YES
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
2000 shares @ 43.3¢·now 28.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$560.00
$-307.00
- YES
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?
1000 shares @ 54.4¢·now 55.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$554.99
$10.81
- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
1500 shares @ 61.2¢·now 35.5¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$532.50
$-384.79
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
2000 shares @ 25.9¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$490.00
$-28.77
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
1000 shares @ 32.1¢·now 33.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$330.00
$9.00
- NO
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
700 shares @ 63.1¢·now 47.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$329.00
$-113.00
- YES
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?
361 shares @ 46.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$287.16
$121.01
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?$89.04Jul 29, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$51.00Jul 28, 22:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?$15.15Jul 28, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$26.00Jul 27, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by August 31?$75.00Jul 27, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?$9.47Jul 27, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$235.00Jul 27, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by August 31?$50.00Jul 27, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$231.06Jul 27, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by August 31?$140.00Jul 27, 08:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 31, 2026?$76.55Jul 25, 12:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 31, 2026?$606.15Jul 25, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 31, 2026?$66.43Jul 25, 06:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$0.14Jul 25, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 31, 2026?$217.62Jul 25, 06:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 31, 2026?$6.88Jul 25, 05:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?$115.00Jul 25, 05:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 31, 2026?$94.60Jul 25, 05:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 31, 2026?$150.00Jul 25, 03:32 UTC
- REWARD$1.43Jul 24, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
37/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
73% win rate over 15 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
15 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $105.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 09:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.