Apprehensive-Conformation
0xfea4595315714cd8a8a42c678665d94851e9f07b
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
40
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-287.11
Realised
$11.49
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
400 shares @ 96.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$400.00
$12.80
- NO
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?
304 shares @ 98.6¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$299.40
$-0.60
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
167 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$166.67
$16.67
- YES
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?
310 shares @ 12.9¢·now 21.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$66.41
$26.41
- YES
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?
117 shares @ 31.8¢·now 38.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$44.46
$7.27
- YES
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?
299 shares @ 19.8¢·now 12.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$36.75
$-22.41
- YES
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
236 shares @ 21.2¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$31.69
$-18.31
- YES
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?
500 shares @ 2.0¢·now 5.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$29.00
$19.00
- YES
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?
421 shares @ 3.5¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.74
$-8.26
- YES
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
900 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.85
$0.45
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$150.60May 31, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?$15.00May 31, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?$300.00May 31, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?$38.20May 31, 05:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.73May 13, 18:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.90May 13, 18:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.04May 13, 18:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.07May 13, 17:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.04May 13, 17:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.06May 13, 16:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.05May 13, 16:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.26May 13, 15:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.33May 13, 15:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.00May 13, 15:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.01May 13, 15:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.17May 13, 14:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.00May 13, 14:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.00May 13, 14:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.01May 13, 14:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $25.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 29, 04:21 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 05:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".