Fitting-Thesis
0xfeb4ed43784e664b11d61a0183baafea4f3e13b6
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$2.3K
Total PnL
$-439.18
Realised
$-23.21
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9854 shares @ 9.7¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.1K
$152.74
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3086 shares @ 16.2¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$513.89
$13.89
- ALEX PEREIRA
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)
620 shares @ 50.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$313.10
$3.10
- YES
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?
370 shares @ 27.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$109.26
$9.26
- YES
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?
588 shares @ 17.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$91.18
$-8.82
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1124 shares @ 8.9¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$88.20
$-11.80
- YES
Will Ivory Coast be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?
672 shares @ 14.9¢·now 10.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$67.19
$-32.81
- DERRICK LEWIS
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)
221 shares @ 23.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$49.80
$-1.20
- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
2850 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-540.33
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.15Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt win on 2026-06-15?$102.49Jun 13, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?$102.19Jun 13, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivory Coast be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?$102.55Jun 13, 16:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.5KJun 12, 09:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$2.1KJun 11, 13:42 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)$43.65Jun 11, 13:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.70Jun 11, 13:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$96.28Jun 11, 13:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jun 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jun 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jun 9, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.12Jun 8, 02:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 8, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)$314.65Jun 7, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)$102.31Jun 7, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$102.51Jun 7, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$102.73Jun 7, 18:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $747.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 09:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.