Quirky-Threat
0xfef32466071c8d8ff3cc52fdd8077cd66c6b6cac
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$247.35
Total PnL
$28.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
456 shares @ 43.9¢·now 50.1¢·exp May 16, 2026$228.43
$28.43
- YES
Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be between 25 and 49 points?
29 shares @ 35.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$9.85
$-0.15
- YES
Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
14 shares @ 66.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$9.07
$0.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$9.15May 13, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be between 25 and 49 points?$10.32May 13, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$205.61May 13, 19:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 3
- Avg trade size
- $75.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 19:03 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 19:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".