Considerate-Raft
0xff400f04ad0a966e2c024ba8c2e2f592a2edc553
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$42.27
Total PnL
$1.91
Realised
$-1.61
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Al Fayha Saudi Club leading at halftime?
21 shares @ 91.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp May 21, 2026$20.92
$1.81
- NO
Will Botafogo FR vs. Club Independiente Petrolero end in a draw?
20 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$19.96
$1.40
- NO
Will Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?
1 shares @ 94.8¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jan 25, 2027$0.96
$0.02
- YES
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
2 shares @ 6.4¢·now 21.4¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.43
$0.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYAl Fayha Saudi Club leading at halftime?$19.16May 21, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Botafogo FR vs. Club Independiente Petrolero end in a draw?$18.60Apr 28, 02:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?$20.16Mar 21, 00:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?$17.33Mar 21, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?$40.61Mar 21, 00:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.1KMar 21, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$109.85Mar 21, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$162.88Mar 21, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$740.55Mar 21, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$79.55Mar 21, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?$67.28Mar 21, 00:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?$11.23Mar 21, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?$80.43Mar 20, 23:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?$1.1KMar 20, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?$1.1KMar 20, 23:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?$30.71Mar 20, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?$5.10Mar 20, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?$26.67Mar 20, 23:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 1680-1759 tweets in April 2026?$1.2KMar 20, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1680-1759 tweets in April 2026?$894.48Mar 20, 23:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $328.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 20, 20:24 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 06:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".