Granular-Splendor
0xff41afc82fcac109259c1dddf756f90a1278171a
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
65
Open notional
$175.64
Total PnL
$-74.56
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 65- YES
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
152 shares @ 1.5¢·now 15.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$22.80
$20.53
- YES
Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?
20 shares @ 62.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2026$15.96
$3.43
- YES
Will Mark Lamb be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?
32 shares @ 71.0¢·now 39.1¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$12.61
$-10.25
- YES
Will Carleigh Beriont be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?
179 shares @ 7.0¢·now 5.1¢·exp Sep 8, 2026$9.09
$-3.41
- YES
Will Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?
292 shares @ 7.6¢·now 3.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$8.91
$-13.21
- YES
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
9 shares @ 50.9¢·now 54.2¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$4.88
$0.30
- YES
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
1136 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$3.98
$-0.57
- YES
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
1515 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$3.79
$-0.76
- YES
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
1515 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$3.79
$-0.76
- YES
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
1515 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$3.79
$-0.76
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Lamb be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?$1.12May 31, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?$11.63May 31, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$2.34May 31, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$2.32May 31, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$2.34May 31, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$1.81May 31, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$2.34May 31, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$2.34May 31, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$2.34May 31, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$2.34May 31, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$2.34May 31, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$2.34May 31, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$2.34May 31, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$2.32May 31, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$2.34May 31, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$2.34May 31, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?$0.19May 31, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?$2.24May 31, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gabriel Fernando Indi win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?$2.01May 31, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mário da Silva Júnior win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?$2.24May 31, 16:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 16:37 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 16:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.