Determined-Mug
0xff4b1f20ab269d3f82287428537f8b533cbfd019
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$11.9K
Total PnL
$6.1K
Realised
$7.1K
Win rate
66%
123 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
3705 shares @ 18.4¢·now 25.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$944.71
$264.49
- NO
Will Qatar win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
732 shares @ 97.5¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$714.09
$0.58
- NO
Will Czechia reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
570 shares @ 93.3¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$552.61
$20.72
- YES
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1021 shares @ 28.2¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$454.48
$166.75
- NO
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
457 shares @ 90.0¢·now 89.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$408.28
$-3.42
- NO
Will Jordan win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
382 shares @ 98.3¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$376.99
$1.15
- YES
Will Kai Havertz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4594 shares @ 2.5¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$360.61
$245.45
- YES
Will Croatia win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1609 shares @ 20.8¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$346.03
$11.77
- NO
Will South Korea reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
334 shares @ 93.0¢·now 94.2¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$314.89
$4.01
- YES
Will Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1362 shares @ 11.3¢·now 19.4¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$264.15
$109.62
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Germany be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?$48.82Jun 15, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?$46.85Jun 15, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the World Cup?$49.50Jun 15, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$2.57Jun 15, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.82Jun 15, 09:56 UTC
- CONVERSIONWorld Cup: Golden Boot Winner$361.11Jun 15, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Philippe de Villiers be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$72.00Jun 15, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$126.65Jun 15, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.48Jun 15, 09:12 UTC
- CONVERSIONWorld Cup Group H Winner$117.82Jun 15, 09:01 UTC
- MERGEWill Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$16.00Jun 15, 09:01 UTC
- MERGEWill Saudi Arabia win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$582.19Jun 15, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$12.86Jun 15, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$328.61Jun 15, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$0.02Jun 15, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$0.78Jun 15, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$19.91Jun 15, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$61.69Jun 15, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$14.44Jun 15, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$10.29Jun 15, 07:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $51.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 00:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 10:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 123 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.