Determined-Mug
0xff4b1f20ab269d3f82287428537f8b533cbfd019
Quality score
100/100
Open positions
200
Open notional
$10.5K
Total PnL
$5.0K
Realised
$4.1K
Win rate
64%
107 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?
1364 shares @ 73.9¢·now 93.8¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.3K
$271.96
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
4405 shares @ 18.4¢·now 20.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$902.97
$94.31
- YES
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?
9592 shares @ 5.9¢·now 7.1¢·exp May 16, 2026$684.84
$115.14
- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
701 shares @ 89.8¢·now 94.3¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$661.22
$31.98
- YES
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?
27502 shares @ 1.4¢·now 2.4¢·exp May 16, 2026$660.05
$268.28
- YES
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?
10170 shares @ 4.3¢·now 6.3¢·exp May 16, 2026$640.73
$204.92
- YES
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
5034 shares @ 11.0¢·now 11.3¢·exp May 16, 2026$568.88
$16.42
- NO
Will Ricardo Belmont finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
465 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$464.83
$9.07
- YES
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
1744 shares @ 18.4¢·now 21.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$374.97
$53.18
- YES
Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
1054 shares @ 28.6¢·now 31.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$332.08
$29.97
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?$2.7019m ago
- TRADEBUYWill France win Eurovision 2026?$1.9221m ago
- TRADEBUYWill France win Eurovision 2026?$6.5822m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$3.7023m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.5629m ago
- TRADESELLWill Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?$4.0130m ago
- TRADESELLWill Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?$10.2130m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$6.9030m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$5.722h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$2.503h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$19.526h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$2.849h ago
- TRADESELLWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$19.779h ago
- TRADESELLWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$10.359h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win Eurovision 2026?$2.479h ago
- TRADESELLWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$6.879h ago
- TRADESELLWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$156.009h ago
- TRADEBUYWill France win Eurovision 2026?$22.409h ago
- TRADEBUYWill France win Eurovision 2026?$10.309h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win Eurovision 2026?$1.249h ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $19.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 13h ago
- Last active
- 19m ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.