Ill-Sub
0xff62b7595eaf2b4991c205039c8f652e47ab1148
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$5.2K
Total PnL
$-607.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?
1142 shares @ 90.8¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.0K
$-20.16
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
1000 shares @ 91.1¢·now 95.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$957.50
$46.50
- NO
GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?
1000 shares @ 91.2¢·now 94.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$946.49
$34.50
- NO
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
1100 shares @ 74.9¢·now 72.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$792.00
$-32.00
- NO
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
1156 shares @ 60.4¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$629.88
$-68.43
- NO
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?
734 shares @ 35.1¢·now 81.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$594.71
$337.08
- NO
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?
1000 shares @ 30.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$230.00
$-70.00
- SWITZERLAND
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance
1000 shares @ 17.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-175.00
- NO
Will Solana reach $200 in July?
500 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-315.00
- YES
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
351 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-66.65
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.09Jul 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 18, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$4.38Jul 13, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?$500.00Jul 12, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$182.22Jul 12, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?$10.71Jul 12, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?$22.29Jul 12, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?$11.15Jul 12, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?$171.19Jul 12, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?$72.16Jul 12, 02:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.0KJul 12, 02:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.83Jul 12, 02:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.72Jul 12, 02:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $270.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 2, 00:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.