Naughty-Strawman
0xff78f4f8060f1270d42c82060c1e87718acbe3a7
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$13.63
Total PnL
$-4.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
2 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.06
$0.02
- NO
Crude Oil all time high by March 31?
2 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.66
$0.01
- NO
Will Vance visit the Middle East by March 31?
2 shares @ 97.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.60
$0.04
- NO
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 66.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.45
$0.45
- NO
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.35
$0.00
- NO
Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?
1 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.27
$0.03
- NO
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.07
$0.01
- NO
Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.06
$0.00
- NO
DOJ reopens Powell investigation by May 15?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.05
$0.00
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.05
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$2.04May 30, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYDOJ reopens Powell investigation by May 15?$1.05May 9, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$1.05Apr 30, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?$1.06Apr 29, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?$1.06Apr 29, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by April 30?$1.24Apr 15, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vance visit the Middle East by March 31?$1.56Mar 30, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYCrude Oil all time high by March 31?$1.65Mar 29, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYLecornu out as French PM by December 31?$1.35Dec 30, 08:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia?$0.04Dec 29, 09:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia?$10.91Dec 29, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia?$10.95Dec 29, 09:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$3.38Dec 26, 02:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$10.50Dec 26, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$13.88Dec 26, 02:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.06Dec 24, 06:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$10.16Dec 24, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$10.22Dec 24, 06:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.23Dec 24, 01:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$10.20Dec 24, 01:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $4.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 12, 03:42 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 02:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.