Kindly-Diam
0xff928ebc0d161b965f2ff00ee07ad2c18dccd07c
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
58
Open notional
$1.9K
Total PnL
$970.36
Realised
$1.2K
Win rate
71%
52 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 58- NO
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
682 shares @ 73.1¢·now 70.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$480.81
$-17.48
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1223 shares @ 13.7¢·now 27.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$329.61
$162.48
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?
328 shares @ 79.4¢·now 84.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$275.52
$15.14
- NO
Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
184 shares @ 94.6¢·now 99.2¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$182.34
$8.49
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
376 shares @ 44.6¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$163.55
$-4.30
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
277 shares @ 48.0¢·now 44.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$121.75
$-11.18
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
361 shares @ 18.4¢·now 23.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$86.49
$19.92
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
697 shares @ 13.6¢·now 12.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$86.03
$-8.73
- NO
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
25 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$25.00
$1.25
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
71 shares @ 22.1¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$21.66
$5.96
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.47Jul 29, 03:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.32Jul 29, 03:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.22Jul 28, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.65Jul 28, 14:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 27, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$8.07Jul 26, 21:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$6.21Jul 26, 21:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$6.21Jul 26, 21:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$6.21Jul 26, 21:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$6.21Jul 26, 21:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$6.21Jul 26, 21:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$6.21Jul 26, 21:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$6.21Jul 26, 21:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$6.21Jul 26, 21:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$6.21Jul 26, 21:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$6.21Jul 26, 21:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$6.21Jul 26, 21:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$6.21Jul 26, 21:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
76/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
71% win rate over 52 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
52 closed markets, 71% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $5.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 26, 21:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 03:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 52 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.