Tired-Envy
0xff9987b272e9730e9b23d03d9cee2e49d8d75602
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$6.7K
Total PnL
$-6.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?
5860 shares @ 51.2¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.1K
$-861.26
- YES
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?
1978 shares @ 50.5¢·now 58.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$1.2K
$157.42
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
3448 shares @ 29.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$948.28
$-51.72
- YES
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
1889 shares @ 52.9¢·now 42.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$802.75
$-197.25
- YES
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
8438 shares @ 23.7¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$717.25
$-1.3K
- YES
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?
894 shares @ 78.3¢·now 75.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$670.39
$-29.61
- YES
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?
2105 shares @ 19.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$305.26
$-94.73
- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
13944 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-97.61
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
10000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?
2862 shares @ 17.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?$1000.00Jul 21, 17:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?$400.00Jul 20, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?$100.00Jul 20, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by August 31?$1000.00Jul 20, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?$200.00Jul 20, 21:04 UTC
- TRADESELLIran military action against a Gulf State on July 20?$199.57Jul 20, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?$1000.00Jul 20, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?$400.00Jul 20, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military action against a Gulf State on July 20?$100.00Jul 20, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military action against a Gulf State on July 20?$100.00Jul 20, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?$500.00Jul 20, 16:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.7KJul 20, 01:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 20, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMIran military action against a Gulf State on July 19?$416.47Jul 19, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military action against a Gulf State on July 20?$500.00Jul 19, 16:11 UTC
- REDEEMIran military action against a Gulf State on July 18?$305.97Jul 19, 08:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 19, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$1000.00Jul 18, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$1000.00Jul 18, 13:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$12.0K
Trades
1
Buy share
100%
Window
May 20, 18:00 UTC → May 20, 17:56 UTC
- BUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$12.0K@37¢May 20, 17:56 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
40 live trades, 1 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
$12.0K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $1.1K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 22, 12:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 17:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.