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OtherExpires

Will Valve remove Nuke from the Map Pool?

Probability

22¢

1h

+0.5pp

24h

-3.5pp

24h Vol

$86.35

Liquidity

$240.24

Probability (last 7 days)

-6.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 15:00Apr 25, 2026, 12:47
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Down 4pp over 24h

    Now 22¢; +0.5pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Wide spread — 16.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 12:00Price

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 21¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 20¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 20¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 20¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 20¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 20¢

    MEDIUM
  • 01:00Price

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 21¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 27¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 27¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 26¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 26¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 26¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 26¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 26¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 26¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 26¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 26¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 24¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 24¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -8.0pp

    to 24¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 24¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 24¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 24¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 24¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Valve removes the listed map from the official map pool by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and the removal lasts continuously for at least 48 hours. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Temporary or testing removals reversed within 48 hours do not count. The "official map pool" refers to the Active Duty map group in CS2, used for competitive matchmaking (Premier mode) and professional tournaments. For the purpose of this market, “Valve” refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of the Counter-Strike series. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (16.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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