Substantial-Vermicelli
0xffc79c1affa2c9f7a4f516be3d11897dd8f358ba
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$19.42
Total PnL
$-2.58
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
12 shares @ 43.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.94
$-0.06
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
7 shares @ 76.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.77
$-0.23
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
2 shares @ 92.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.02
$0.02
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
2 shares @ 88.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$2.01
$0.01
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
17 shares @ 12.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.92
$-0.08
- YES
Will Trump say "Hippo" or "Hippopotamus" in May?
5 shares @ 44.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.20
$-0.80
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
36 shares @ 2.8¢·now 2.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will Trump post "Ceasefire" or "Cease-fire" or "Cease fire" on Truth Social this week?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will Trump post "Virus" on Truth Social this week?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.60
$-0.40
- SEBASTIAN OFNER
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Sebastian Ofner
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Virus" on Truth Social this week?$1.011d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Ceasefire" or "Cease-fire" or "Cease fire" on Truth Social this week?$1.011d ago
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$2.001d ago
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by June 30?$1.001d ago
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Sebastian Ofner$1.031d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hippo" or "Hippopotamus" in May?$2.041d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$5.001d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$5.091d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$2.011d ago
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$2.011d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $2.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 1d ago
- Last active
- 1d ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
