0xffd6681a5ea3f1e01c5d05f38f837fb8d67f6939
0xffd6681a5ea3f1e01c5d05f38f837fb8d67f6939
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
56
Open notional
$490.74
Total PnL
$88.19
Realised
$39.12
Win rate
60%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- UNDER
Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5
28 shares @ 53.3¢·now 87.5¢·exp May 8, 2026$24.50
$9.57
- NO
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?
23 shares @ 22.2¢·now 99.3¢·exp May 3, 2026$22.36
$17.36
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
34 shares @ 27.1¢·now 60.1¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$20.28
$11.12
- NO
Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?
16 shares @ 91.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.75
$0.81
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
26 shares @ 58.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$15.71
$0.89
- UNDER
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5
32 shares @ 49.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp May 8, 2026$15.67
$0.16
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
16 shares @ 93.4¢·now 97.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$15.66
$0.66
- NO
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
16 shares @ 91.7¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.22
$0.22
- NO
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-05-09?
28 shares @ 53.7¢·now 54.5¢·exp May 9, 2026$15.16
$0.23
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
15 shares @ 74.2¢·now 99.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$15.06
$3.77
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$0.483m ago
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. 76ers$5.2543m ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$0.0245m ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$0.0153m ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$0.011h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$0.012h ago
- TRADEBUYMap Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs K27 (+1.5)$5.042h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$0.002h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$0.002h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$0.002h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$0.002h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$0.022h ago
- TRADEBUYChicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangers$5.052h ago
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. 76ers: O/U 214.5$5.053h ago
- TRADEBUYLoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Season$4.983h ago
- REDEEMGame Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)$0.003h ago
- REDEEMLoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season$0.003h ago
- TRADEBUYO/U 2.5 Rounds$5.253h ago
- TRADEBUYLoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$5.053h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$0.443h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $3.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 10h ago
- Last active
- 3m ago
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".