Needy-Thirst
0xffee567f237a626ff8e99066c2cf25fc421c0f76
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-384.29
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
623 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
411 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-23.17
- YES
Will Jordan Pickford win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
252 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
135 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Sinners win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?
118 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will F1: The Movie win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?
112 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will It Was Just An Accident win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
107 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
100 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-54.00
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
80 shares @ 21.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-17.61
- YES
Will The Perfect Neighbor win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
70 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-59.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$18.30Jul 28, 17:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$8.55Jul 23, 11:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$9.68Jul 23, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Julian Alvarez score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$14.52Jul 19, 00:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$14.27Jul 19, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.16Jul 18, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan Pickford win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.15Jul 18, 14:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tarcisio de Freitas finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$4.80Jul 18, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pep Guardiola attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?$5.16Jul 18, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeff Bezos attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?$5.14Jul 18, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$51.57Jul 18, 02:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$0.95Jul 18, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$1.05Jul 18, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$10.22Jul 18, 02:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$0.00Jul 18, 02:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$0.00Jul 18, 02:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$16.13Jul 18, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$5.24Jul 18, 02:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$10.00Jul 18, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$5.17Jul 18, 01:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $12.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 19:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 17:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.