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5 things to verify

6 observations · 32 resolution risks

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MARKET PULSE
Paul vs. Altmaier: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5LIVE
Selected: shared dashboard stateChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
50% 0.0pp
24h volume
$0
Orrery Pulse50% current50-50% 7D range+0.0pp net move
59%54%50%46%42%
50%
May 2150%+0.0pp from start
May 20May 20May 20May 20May 20May 21May 21May 21
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RESOLUTION RISK
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Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
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Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 21, 2026
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  • Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? probability up 27.0pp on $0.2M of 24h volume.
  • Iran closes its airspace by May 31? shows a momentum pattern at 95% evidence — verify on the market.
  • Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A resolves in 7h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
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RISK INCREASED (3)
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