High
Orrery — the verification layer for prediction markets
Today
5 things to verify
6 observations · 32 resolution risks
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TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full research queue 1Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Resolves in 4h — verify the source
Verify
2Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Resolves in 4h — verify the source
Verify
3Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca
Momentum observation
Momentum
4US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?
Resolves in 4h — verify the source
Verify
5Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1
UMA proposed — verify before treating moves as new info
Verify
MARKET PULSE
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao FonsecaHIGH EVIDENCE
Selected: strongest momentum observationChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
67% 32.0pp
24h volume
$2.1M
Orrery Pulse75% current34-80% 7D range+38.0pp net move
88%72%57%41%25%
75%
Jun 275%+38.0pp from start
Jun 1Jun 1Jun 1Jun 1Jun 2Jun 2Jun 2Jun 2
HIGH-EVIDENCE OBSERVATIONS
All signals 1Open
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao FonsecaTop read
24h Δ 32.0pp, 1h Δ 17.0pp · Turnover 16.8× liquidity
2Open
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
24h Δ -12.0pp, 1h Δ -0.5pp · Turnover 2.8× liquidity
4Open
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?
24h Δ -11.5pp, 1h Δ -4.2pp · Turnover 2.3× liquidity
5Open
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?
24h Δ 19.3pp, 1h Δ 2.8pp · Turnover 2.2× liquidity
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch Iran closes its airspace by June 30?UMA DISPUTED
High
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
High
Will Georgia win on 2026-06-02?UMA PENDING
High
Birmingham: Coleman Wong vs Oliver TarvetUMA PENDING
High
High
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-02?UMA PENDING
High
High
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Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 88 | 95/80 90/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 87 | 95/85 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 85 | 95/76 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 85 | 95/83 70/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 83 | 95/84 60/80 | Inspect timeline |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFJune 2, 2026
Read full brief - Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June? probability up 41.0pp on $0.2M of 24h volume.
- Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca shows a momentum pattern at 95% evidence — verify on the market.
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3? resolves in 4h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
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