Orrery — decision terminal for prediction markets
Today
5 things to verify
5 observations · 32 resolution risks
TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full research queue Event date has passed while the market is still active upstream
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Resolves in 14h — verify the source
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MARKET PULSE
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?HIGH EVIDENCE
Selected: strongest momentum observationChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
29% 4.8pp
24h volume
$329.5K
Orrery Pulse68% current50-68% 7D range+17.5pp net move
71%65%59%53%47%
68%
May 1968%+17.5pp from start
May 18May 18May 18May 18May 18May 18May 19May 19
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia PhilliesUMA PENDING
High
High
High
High
High
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York YankeesPAST EVENT
—
New York Mets vs. Washington NationalsPAST EVENT
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Spurs vs. ThunderPAST EVENT
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Spread: Thunder (-6.5)PAST EVENT
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Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 221.5PAST EVENT
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Canadiens vs. SabresPAST EVENT
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Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5PAST EVENT
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Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay RaysPAST EVENT
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Atlanta Braves vs. Miami MarlinsPAST EVENT
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Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit TigersPAST EVENT
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—
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 79 | 78/78 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 77 | 76/87 64/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 72 | 53/93 80/80 | Compare siblings | |
| 71 | 52/90 80/80 | Compare siblings | |
| 71 | 52/87 80/80 | Compare siblings |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 19, 2026
Read full brief - Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? probability up 15.0pp on $0.8M of 24h volume.
- Iran closes its airspace by May 24? shows a momentum pattern at 78% evidence — verify on the market.
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? resolves in 14h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
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WATCHLIST DELTA
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