High
Verification layer
The verification layer for prediction markets.
Know what moved, why it matters, what can go wrong, and what to verify before trusting the odds.
Live contextrefreshed now
Today
5 things to verify
6 observations · 32 resolution risks
TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full research queue 1Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Momentum observation
Momentum
2Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev
Momentum observation
Momentum
3New York Yankees vs. Athletics
Momentum observation
Momentum
4Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca
Momentum observation
Momentum
5Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Momentum observation
Momentum
MARKET PULSE
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey RublevHIGH EVIDENCE
Selected: strongest momentum observationChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
90% 42.0pp
24h volume
$4.8M
Orrery Pulse0% current0-77% 7D range-50.0pp net move
100%75%50%25%0%
0%
May 310%-50.0pp from start
May 30May 30May 30May 31May 31May 31May 31May 31
HIGH-EVIDENCE OBSERVATIONS
All signals 1Open
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey RublevTop read
24h Δ 42.0pp, 1h Δ 42.0pp · Turnover 36.3× liquidity
2Open
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca
24h Δ -28.0pp, 1h Δ -8.0pp · Turnover 20.9× liquidity
3Open
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
24h Δ 38.6pp, 1h Δ 0.2pp · Turnover 3.9× liquidity
5Open
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
24h Δ -10.0pp, 1h Δ -7.0pp · Turnover 6.6× liquidity
6Open
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
24h Δ -7.4pp, 1h Δ -6.1pp · Turnover 3.2× liquidity
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 1 WinnerUMA PENDING
High
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston AstrosUMA PENDING
High
Miami Marlins vs. New York MetsUMA PENDING
High
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?UMA DISPUTED
High
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?UMA DISPUTED
High
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 3 WinnerUMA PENDING
High
San Diego Padres vs. Washington NationalsUMA PENDING
High
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati RedsUMA PENDING
High
High
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-05-31?UMA PENDING
High
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore OriolesUMA PENDING
High
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 2 WinnerUMA PENDING
High
High
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-05-31?UMA PENDING
High
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?UMA DISPUTED
High
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?UMA DISPUTED
High
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)UMA PENDING
High
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay RaysUMA PENDING
High
Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland GuardiansUMA PENDING
High
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White SoxUMA PENDING
High
Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh PiratesUMA PENDING
High
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
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Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 93 | 95/92 98/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 87 | 95/85 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 86 | 95/81 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 86 | 95/79 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 86 | 95/79 80/80 | Inspect timeline |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 31, 2026
Read full brief - Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev probability up 42.0pp on $4.8M of 24h volume.
- Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev shows a momentum pattern at 95% evidence — verify on the market.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
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RISK INCREASED (0)
- No new resolution risks
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