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MARKET PULSE
Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland GuardiansHIGH EVIDENCE
Selected: strongest momentum observationChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
13% 28.0pp
24h volume
$336.0K
Orrery Pulse98% current75-99% 7D range+0.1pp net move
100%75%50%25%0%
98%
May 1798%+0.1pp from start
May 15May 16May 16May 16May 16May 17May 17May 17
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch 32 active risks in one mode
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?UMA PENDING
High
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17?UMA PENDING
High
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?UMA PENDING
High
High
High
High
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-17?UMA PENDING
High
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?UMA PENDING
High
High
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
High
High
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-05-17?UMA PENDING
High
High
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-17?UMA PENDING
High
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-17?UMA PENDING
High
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-17?UMA PENDING
High
High
High
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-17?UMA PENDING
High
High
High
High
High
High
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 17?UMA PENDING
High
High
High
High
High
High
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 95/74 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 84 | 90/81 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 83 | 88/81 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 70 | 58/93 60/80 | Compare siblings | |
| 68 | 60/79 60/80 | Compare siblings |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 17, 2026
Read full brief - Starmer out by June 30, 2026? probability up 35.0pp on $0.3M of 24h volume.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians shows a momentum pattern at 95% evidence — verify on the market.
- Iran closes its airspace by May 18? resolves in 5h — verify the source before treating as research.
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WATCHLIST DELTA
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