Orrery — decision terminal for prediction markets
TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full opportunities Resolves in 36h — verify the source
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Event date has passed while the market is still active upstream
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Resolves in 36h — verify the source
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MARKET PULSE
US strike on Cuba by December 31?HIGH EVIDENCE
Selected: strongest momentum signalChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
50% 13.0pp
24h volume
$198.1K
Orrery Pulse1% current1-4% 7D range-0.8pp net move
100%75%50%25%0%
1%
May 141%-0.8pp from start
May 13May 13May 13May 13May 13May 13May 14May 14
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch High
Wild vs. AvalancheUMA PENDING
High
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-13?UMA PENDING
High
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston AstrosUMA PENDING
High
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 210.5UMA PENDING
High
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas RangersUMA PENDING
High
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5UMA PENDING
High
Will Bitcoin reach $89,000 on May 13?UMA PENDING
High
Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota TwinsUMA PENDING
High
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-05-13?UMA PENDING
High
High
High
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 13?UMA PENDING
High
Spread: Seattle Sounders FC (-1.5)UMA PENDING
High
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-05-13?UMA PENDING
High
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5UMA PENDING
High
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-05-13?UMA PENDING
High
Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5UMA PENDING
High
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)UMA PENDING
High
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St. Louis Cardinals vs. AthleticsPAST EVENT
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Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles SparksPAST EVENT
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Spread: Pistons (-4.5)PAST EVENT
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Spread: Pistons (-3.5)PAST EVENT
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Chicago Sky vs. Golden State ValkyriesPAST EVENT
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Medium
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?PINNED NO
Medium
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full opportunities | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 86 | 95/79 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 72 | 60/81 80/80 | Compare siblings |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 14, 2026
Read full brief - Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election probability up 14.0pp on $0.2M of 24h volume.
- US strike on Cuba by December 31? shows a momentum pattern at 95% evidence — verify on the market.
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 14? resolves in 12h — verify the source before treating as research.
IGNORE (0)
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